It has been 26 years since Nvidia has gone public. The stock has crashed in four of these years. So it's certainly possible that Nvidia's stock price will reverse and turn south in 2025. In fact, I think 2025 is a year that is more likely than most of a drop in stock price. Here's why.

Investors were not impressed by Nvidia's quarterly performance and outlook even though it handily beat Wall Street's expectations thanks to the booming demand for its artificial intelligence (AI) chips.

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is the most valuable stock on the market. With a capitalization of $3.6 trillion, it surpassed Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to take the top spot. As demand for artificial intelligence chips and servers soared,

Because Nvidia's shares have risen over the last few days, the magic amount is even lower now. In my backward-looking exercise, I also examined what signs might have pointed to Nvidia's potential for massive gains.