Harris’ 5-point lead overall is larger than most major polling averages show. Nate Silver’s independent forecast has her up by 2.8 points, while FiveThirtyEight gives her a 2.6-point lead and RealClearPolitics shows her ahead by 1.7 points.

Margins in the polls remain slim indicating no clear winner this time around. It's a competitive race, and the polls show it. Here's who's in the lead according to the latest polls. ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls at 48.

The last time America had an election this tight was in 2000. Those were calmer days. The Florida recount was nevertheless ended by a controversial Supreme Court ruling. Picture how such a dispute would unfold in 2024.